Players, I have a bad news from my favoriate on line book Pinnacle Sports.
They are discouraging Sharp plays and changing their policies.
What's with the changes? They are taking bad advise, as far as I'm concerned, on how to increase the bottom line.
I will be withdrawing my account along with recommendation to all team members. I hope your reading this Simon, the reaction will be swift.
This is the Pinnacle news release:
Online Sportsbook Admits Error In Offering Reduced Juice On All Sports WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (April 1, 2006)—Leading online sportsbook PinnacleSports.com today announced that the company will be changing its’ business model by no longer offering reduced juice wagering on sporting events that offers bettors up to 60% better value than other sports books. Following advice from management consultants, Pinnacle will begin offering traditional 20 cent lines on all major sports immediately – a major changefrom the current low margin betting options, but one that will increaseprofits substantially at the player’s expense. “Although we pioneered reduced margin wagering, the recent figuresreported by numerous companies that deal a 20 cent line or higher havemade us realize we’re simply giving our customers too good a deal,” saidSimon Noble of PinnacleSports.com. “This is a dramatic shift in ourbusiness model, but the bottom line is that we will make more money frombettors this way. We believe all our customers who have benefited from ourlow juice offerings will continue to bet with Pinnacle even though they’ll no longer save so much money on every bet they make. Instead, low juice wagering will be replaced by a ‘Pinnacle Pussycats’ swimsuit calendar anda regular column from a former playmate, while our linesmakers will be putto work devising ways of dealing dual lines and moving on aireffectively." In addition to restructuring betting margins, PinnacleSports.com has also decided to reduce betting limits to a maximum limit of $200 per bet. The executive team has also stipulated that Pinnacle Sports will be implementing a no wise-guy and no syndicate policy. With the Final Fourand start of baseball season this weekend, Pinnacle has determined that the best way to proceed in the future is to open betting on sportingevents only an hour or two before the game starts so that the line can be sharpened elsewhere.“We’ve thoroughly examined the marketplace and after meeting with management consultants, we realize it makes sense to not only increase thejuice, but to also decrease wager limits, discourage professional players and only give bettors an hour or two to bet on games before they start,”continued Mr. Noble. “While we opened betting on the Final Four gamesbefore the conclusion of the Florida/Villanova game Sunday, that will be athing of the past, as we hope to follow in the footsteps of thetrendsetters that guarantee to open betting by mid-day before an event.”To kickoff the business restructuring, PinnacleSports.com plans on throwing an extravagant party at a nightclub in Curacao headlined by C and D list celebrities. Additionally, the company is in negotiations to produce a made for TV mini series set to air at 3 a.m. on Saturdays onpublic access television. Pinnacle has also announced its intentions to purchase a fleet of Harley Davidson motorcycles using the company’s increased profits generated at the player’s expense so that Mr. Noble can appear at various events around the country with the ‘Pinnacle Pussycats’. For more information, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com
Happy April Fools day!
Friday, March 31, 2006
Wednesday, March 22, 2006
Pinnacle Pulse
I've been short on time, but here is our good friend Simon Noble from Pinnacle giving us some interesting thoughts.
The Inside Wagering Line From Pinnacle Sports Book By Simon Noble
With big busts and Georgetown, Bradley, Wichita State and George Mason delivering big upsets, we say good bye to the reigning champs and all representatives from the Big Ten as the mid-majors march on in the NCAA Tournament. As we move into the second week of the tourney with the Sweet 16 delivering a mix of perennial powers and Cinderella stories, I’d like to focus this week’s Pulse on an often overlooked, but potentially highly lucrative area for savvy bettors – second half wagering. One of the most important things in evaluating a second half spread is assessing what happened in the first half of the game and trying to interpret what affect it will have on the remainder of the game. Was one team remarkably cold or on fire in the first half? Are any key players in foul trouble or were there any injuries? Does the pace of the game or the way the referees are calling it favor one team more than another? If you’re looking to find an edge on a second half spread, then a good place to focus your attention are games that are lined to go through zero in the second half. A game can never fall zero and one point victories are the rarest of any of the single digit numbers in college basketball. Oddsmakers and bettors often underestimate the mathematical significance of this. For example, if a team is down by 2 points and is favored to win thesecond half by 3.5 points, there is a good chance that there will be somevalue laying the points. However, if handicapping still leads you to a play on the underdog in this scenario, a wager on the dog on the moneyline would generally be a strong play. As a rule, the equivalent moneyline fora +3.5 (-105) underdog in this situation is around +139. Almost without fail you can expect to find +150 or higher as bettors drive the line up, underestimating the influence of the spread going through the zero. Another area where you can also often find an advantage in College hoopsare second half totals, which can be some of the most interesting wagersout there. Unlike the NBA where the second half total is usually close tothe line on the first half of the game, second half totals in Collegebasketball are on average almost 8 points higher than first half totals for the same game. This is due to the shot clock and its affect on fouling late in the game,which leads to some interesting handicapping scenarios for the total. If ateam is up by a lot at the half and you think they can maintain a big enough lead to avoid late fouling situations, the under can be a strong play. In addition, the chance of an under ruining overtime would also belessened. Another mathematical angle to consider with these 8 point differentials isthat they aren't constant across all games. Match-ups that have a highergame total (above 145 for the full forty minutes) will have on averageless than 8 extra points scored in the second half. Interestingly match-ups with a total below 130 for the full game will generally have more than 8 extra points scored on average during the second half. It all seems counterintuitive, but will hopefully help lead you to a better mathematical line than the market bears. These are all factors to consider as well as ensuring that you always playat the best price available. As regular readers of this column will know,this is one of the easiest ways for any player to increase their potentialwinnings. Pinnacle Sports Book uses -105 style pricing on second half sides and totals which offers bettors up to 50% better value than other bookies. At Pinnacle Sports betting you can even move the second half lines in your favor on all NBA and NCAA tournament games using our unique second half alternates. This is where we set up alternate lines for the second half where the spread is adjusted by a further 5 to 9 points depending on the closeness of the game. While you consider these insider tips for wagering on the second half, you may want to consider how the players been betting the games themselves. LSU (+6 -105) vs. Duke Before the tourney, Duke’s inexperience was highlighted as its biggest weakness, but it was the Blue Devils freshmen that powered the team to a74-61 victory over George Washington in the second round with a 1-2 Redick, Williams punch. Despite being unable to cover in its second round victory over Texas A&M, Louisiana State’s ability to weather a defensive struggle should serve the Tigers well against Duke. LSU’s big men will be looking to shut down the Blue Devils forwards in similar fashion as they limited the Aggies second-leading scorer and top rebounder Joseph Jones to just six pointsand four boards at the weekend. Duke opened as a 5.5 point favorite and speculators quickly pushed theline up to 6.5. Sharp money came in buying to 7 which prevented the linefrom going higher. One syndicate quickly pushed the line out from 6.5 to7.5 but this move was quickly rejected by the market and the line was driven back to 6. We expect to receive public money on Duke for the rest of the way until tip off with the sharps firing on LSU and probably overpowering the public money. We think the game is a toss up that couldeasily see LSU winning outright.
Gonzaga (+3.5 -108) vs. UCLA The Zags proved they're much more than a one-man show Saturday in the second round of the tournament, defeating Indiana 90-80 even though AdamMorrison earned just 14 points on 5-of-17 shooting. With five otherplayers booking double digits, Gonzaga didn’t need the Player of the Year frontrunner, but they’ll need him from here on out. No. 2 seed UCLA’stough defense doesn’t give up cheap points and they will be trying to get back to the Final Four for the first time since their 1995 national championship. We opened UCLA as a 4 point favorite and received immediate two way actionat this number. Following a move by sharp money, the number was pushed down to 3 where the majority of the money seems to be coming in on UCLA. We anticipate that the line is likely to stay around 3.5 where we are now seeing sharp action on both sides in a heavy volume game.
George Mason (-2 -107) vs. Wichita State The upstart Patriots knocked the defending National Champions and third-seeded Tar Heels out of the tournament with a 65-60 upset victory to set up this mid-major match-up in the Sweet Sixteen. Wichita State, theteam who beat the Southeastern Conference's East division champions, already knew how good George Mason was. Before the Patriots knocked off two of last year’s Final Four teams in the opening rounds, they beat the Shockers 70-67 last month as a 3.5 point underdog at Wichita State. We opened the game with George Mason as a 1 point favorite and the linewas bet down to a pick’em. Since then we have seen steady sharp money onthe Patriots pushing the line back to -2 -107, as bettors expect George Mason playing close to home to overcome the Wichita State Shockers.
Great stuff from Simon. I like LSU plus much points as you can get and Geroge Mason Money line smells like winner too.
The Inside Wagering Line From Pinnacle Sports Book By Simon Noble
With big busts and Georgetown, Bradley, Wichita State and George Mason delivering big upsets, we say good bye to the reigning champs and all representatives from the Big Ten as the mid-majors march on in the NCAA Tournament. As we move into the second week of the tourney with the Sweet 16 delivering a mix of perennial powers and Cinderella stories, I’d like to focus this week’s Pulse on an often overlooked, but potentially highly lucrative area for savvy bettors – second half wagering. One of the most important things in evaluating a second half spread is assessing what happened in the first half of the game and trying to interpret what affect it will have on the remainder of the game. Was one team remarkably cold or on fire in the first half? Are any key players in foul trouble or were there any injuries? Does the pace of the game or the way the referees are calling it favor one team more than another? If you’re looking to find an edge on a second half spread, then a good place to focus your attention are games that are lined to go through zero in the second half. A game can never fall zero and one point victories are the rarest of any of the single digit numbers in college basketball. Oddsmakers and bettors often underestimate the mathematical significance of this. For example, if a team is down by 2 points and is favored to win thesecond half by 3.5 points, there is a good chance that there will be somevalue laying the points. However, if handicapping still leads you to a play on the underdog in this scenario, a wager on the dog on the moneyline would generally be a strong play. As a rule, the equivalent moneyline fora +3.5 (-105) underdog in this situation is around +139. Almost without fail you can expect to find +150 or higher as bettors drive the line up, underestimating the influence of the spread going through the zero. Another area where you can also often find an advantage in College hoopsare second half totals, which can be some of the most interesting wagersout there. Unlike the NBA where the second half total is usually close tothe line on the first half of the game, second half totals in Collegebasketball are on average almost 8 points higher than first half totals for the same game. This is due to the shot clock and its affect on fouling late in the game,which leads to some interesting handicapping scenarios for the total. If ateam is up by a lot at the half and you think they can maintain a big enough lead to avoid late fouling situations, the under can be a strong play. In addition, the chance of an under ruining overtime would also belessened. Another mathematical angle to consider with these 8 point differentials isthat they aren't constant across all games. Match-ups that have a highergame total (above 145 for the full forty minutes) will have on averageless than 8 extra points scored in the second half. Interestingly match-ups with a total below 130 for the full game will generally have more than 8 extra points scored on average during the second half. It all seems counterintuitive, but will hopefully help lead you to a better mathematical line than the market bears. These are all factors to consider as well as ensuring that you always playat the best price available. As regular readers of this column will know,this is one of the easiest ways for any player to increase their potentialwinnings. Pinnacle Sports Book uses -105 style pricing on second half sides and totals which offers bettors up to 50% better value than other bookies. At Pinnacle Sports betting you can even move the second half lines in your favor on all NBA and NCAA tournament games using our unique second half alternates. This is where we set up alternate lines for the second half where the spread is adjusted by a further 5 to 9 points depending on the closeness of the game. While you consider these insider tips for wagering on the second half, you may want to consider how the players been betting the games themselves. LSU (+6 -105) vs. Duke Before the tourney, Duke’s inexperience was highlighted as its biggest weakness, but it was the Blue Devils freshmen that powered the team to a74-61 victory over George Washington in the second round with a 1-2 Redick, Williams punch. Despite being unable to cover in its second round victory over Texas A&M, Louisiana State’s ability to weather a defensive struggle should serve the Tigers well against Duke. LSU’s big men will be looking to shut down the Blue Devils forwards in similar fashion as they limited the Aggies second-leading scorer and top rebounder Joseph Jones to just six pointsand four boards at the weekend. Duke opened as a 5.5 point favorite and speculators quickly pushed theline up to 6.5. Sharp money came in buying to 7 which prevented the linefrom going higher. One syndicate quickly pushed the line out from 6.5 to7.5 but this move was quickly rejected by the market and the line was driven back to 6. We expect to receive public money on Duke for the rest of the way until tip off with the sharps firing on LSU and probably overpowering the public money. We think the game is a toss up that couldeasily see LSU winning outright.
Gonzaga (+3.5 -108) vs. UCLA The Zags proved they're much more than a one-man show Saturday in the second round of the tournament, defeating Indiana 90-80 even though AdamMorrison earned just 14 points on 5-of-17 shooting. With five otherplayers booking double digits, Gonzaga didn’t need the Player of the Year frontrunner, but they’ll need him from here on out. No. 2 seed UCLA’stough defense doesn’t give up cheap points and they will be trying to get back to the Final Four for the first time since their 1995 national championship. We opened UCLA as a 4 point favorite and received immediate two way actionat this number. Following a move by sharp money, the number was pushed down to 3 where the majority of the money seems to be coming in on UCLA. We anticipate that the line is likely to stay around 3.5 where we are now seeing sharp action on both sides in a heavy volume game.
George Mason (-2 -107) vs. Wichita State The upstart Patriots knocked the defending National Champions and third-seeded Tar Heels out of the tournament with a 65-60 upset victory to set up this mid-major match-up in the Sweet Sixteen. Wichita State, theteam who beat the Southeastern Conference's East division champions, already knew how good George Mason was. Before the Patriots knocked off two of last year’s Final Four teams in the opening rounds, they beat the Shockers 70-67 last month as a 3.5 point underdog at Wichita State. We opened the game with George Mason as a 1 point favorite and the linewas bet down to a pick’em. Since then we have seen steady sharp money onthe Patriots pushing the line back to -2 -107, as bettors expect George Mason playing close to home to overcome the Wichita State Shockers.
Great stuff from Simon. I like LSU plus much points as you can get and Geroge Mason Money line smells like winner too.
Monday, March 13, 2006
Pinnacle Pulse
“MARCH MADNESS” BETTING ONLINE WILL DWARF THE SUPER BOWL“PinnacleSports.com Executive Available To Discuss “March Madness” BettingTrendsWILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (March 13, 2006)—With office pools and online bettinggaining in popularity and acceptance each year, “March Madness” hassurpassed even the Super Bowl as the most widely bet annual sporting eventin North America. Of the estimated $3.5 to $4 billion wagered on lastyear’s NCAA tournament worldwide, industry experts predicted at least onethird of that total was bet online. The largest sports betting site on theInternet, PinnacleSports.com expects betting on the NCAA tournament todwarf that of this year’s Super Bowl and is available to discuss a widerange of betting trends on the tournament.While the 182 sports books in Nevada are expected to take approximately$90 million in “March Madness” bets, estimates indicate that onlinebookmakers as a whole will record nearly $1.3 billion in NCAA tournamentwagers. Even more impressive is that the $1.3 billion represents more thandoubles the estimated $600 million wagered online on this year’s SuperBowl. With the highest online limits and odds that offer consistent valueto the player, PinnacleSports.com is recognized by both gaming experts andits peers as being the leading online sports book in the world. For thisyear’s tournament, PinnacleSports.com will accept online wagers from aslittle as $1 to a maximum of $30,000 with low margin wagering that givesbettors up to 50% better value than traditional bookmakers online or inNevada.“While buzzer beaters and upsets grab the headlines, what reallycaptivates millions is their vested interest in office pools rather thanthe performance of their favorite team or alma mater,” said Simon Noble ofPinnacleSports.com. “For every person that enters an office pool, there’sa good chance you will find another placing a bet on the tournament gamesover the Internet. As more consumers realize the safety and convenienceonline sportsbooks provide, the Internet will continue to be thedestination of choice for betting on major sporting events like the NCAAtournament.”Since founding the first Internet sportsbook in 1996, Mr. Noble haswitnessed the explosive growth of online gambling firsthand. He isavailable to discuss several betting-related issues, including:· Gambling trends and facts regarding the NCAA Tournament· The growth of Internet sports betting· Online versus traditional sports gambling· Government regulation of Internet gaming· The setting of “March Madness” betting lines· Patterns and trends in the bets placed so far· Unique NCAA Tournament-related betting options available atPinnacleSports.comPinnacleSports.com was the first sportsbook to release betting lines onthis year’s NCAA tournament games, posting point spreads as the firstround match-ups were announced Sunday night. The company will offerthousands of wagering options on the tournament including playerpropositions, futures and live in-game betting. For more information and acomplete list of NCAA Tournament betting odds, please visitwww.pinnaclesports.com.About PinnacleSports.comPinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largestsports betting site serving customers in more than 80 countries worldwide.Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introducereduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors upto 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With lowminimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web,PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providingconsistent value to the player, professional customer service and thequickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, thecompany offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casinogaming.
Thursday, March 09, 2006
Sopranos
BETTORS FAVOR UNCLE JUNIOR & CHRISTOPHER TO BE FIRSTSOPRANOS CHARACTER TO BE “WHACKED” IN SEASON SIXWILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (March 8, 2006)—With “The Sopranos” returning totelevision after a 21-month hiatus Sunday night, the biggest question onthe minds of the show’s loyal fans is which character will be the next toget “whacked”. Last week PinnacleSports.com became the first sportsbook tolet fans bet on who’ll be the first of 18 regular Sopranos characterskilled-off in the upcoming season of the hit mob drama. After nearly oneweek of wagering, Uncle Junior and Christopher have emerged as firmfavorites with online bettors to be the first character to be ‘clipped’ orpass away during “The Sopranos” sixth season.Of the 18 regular Sopranos characters PinnacleSports.com created odds onbeing the first to be killed-off this season, Uncle Junior and Christopherhave each received 13 percent of all money wagered, the most of anycharacters. PinnacleSports.com now lists Uncle Junior as the favorite tobe the first character rubbed-out at 11/2 odds (i.e., win $11 for every$21 bet). Tony Soprano’s nephew Christopher, now has the second-best oddsto meet his demise at 6/1, while early betting favorite and Soprano family soldier, Vito Spatafore remains a solid contender for early termination at 25/4. New Jersey crew members Patsy Parisi (7/1) and Eugene Pontecorvo(15/2) have also received support from bettors and remain prime candidatesto be the first bumped-off. A surprising move has seen the odds on Tony’ssister Janice becoming the first casualty of season six, dropping her oddsfrom 29/1 all the way to 11/1. Bettors have also backed acting New Yorkboss Phil Leotardo reducing his odds from 17/1 at opening to currentlystanding at 11/1 after receiving nine percent of the money bet to date.“In the past our bettors have correctly predicted the outcome of television shows like American Idol as well as world events including thePapal conclave and Presidential elections,” said Simon Noble ofPinnacleSports.com. “If the betting trend continues, it could mean the endof the line for Uncle Junior or Christopher, who both have several risk factors making them vulnerable to being killed-off. ”After receiving tepid support from bettors, PinnacleSports.com now lists Bobby Bacala (11/1), Benny Fazio (11/1), Paulie Walnuts (13/1) and ArtieBucco (16/1) as larger underdogs to get whacked first or pass away when wagering opened. Although he’s serving time in jail while awaiting his RICO trial, the odds on Johnny Sack being taken-out first have dropped to 30/1. The futures of Silvio Dante (52/1) and Dr. Melfi (70/1) appear safefor the time being as neither has received much backing to get killed-off.The TV drama’s first family is also likely to survive this season’s firstdeath as A.J. (70/1), Carmela (70/1), Meadow (75/1) and Tony (75/1) remainthe biggest long shots. Not all fans believe a “hit” is imminent in the sixth season, as bettinghas dropped the odds on none of the listed recurring characters being killed-off to 7/1. For additional information and a complete list ofupdated odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.Current Odds: *All Odds Subject To Change*
First Character To Be Killed/Die On The Sopranos Character Current Odds Opening Odds
Uncle Junior 11/2 - 7/1
Christopher Moltisanti 6/1 - 8/1
Vito Spatafore 25/4 - 6/1
Patsy Parisi 7/1 - 9/1
Eugene Pontecorvo 15/2 - 10/1
Phil Leotardo 11/1 - 17/1
Janice Soprano 11/1 - 29/1
Bobby Bacala 11/1 - 9/1
Benny Fazio 11/1 - 10/1
Paulie Walnuts 13/1 - 12/1
Artie Bucco 16/1 - 14/1
Johnny Sack 30/1 - 44/1
Silvio Dante 52/1 - 29/1
Dr. Melfi 70/1 - 44/1
A.J. Soprano 70/1 - 90/1
Carmela Soprano 70/1 - 90/1
Meadow Soprano 75/1 - 90/1
Tony Soprano 75/1 - 90/1
None of these die 7/1 - 20/1
About PinnacleSports.comPinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largestsports betting site serving customers in more than 80 countries worldwide.Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introducereduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors upto 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With lowminimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web,PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providingconsistent value to the player, professional customer service and thequickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao and theUnited Kingdom, the company offers a secure environment for sportsbetting, racing and casino gaming.
First Character To Be Killed/Die On The Sopranos Character Current Odds Opening Odds
Uncle Junior 11/2 - 7/1
Christopher Moltisanti 6/1 - 8/1
Vito Spatafore 25/4 - 6/1
Patsy Parisi 7/1 - 9/1
Eugene Pontecorvo 15/2 - 10/1
Phil Leotardo 11/1 - 17/1
Janice Soprano 11/1 - 29/1
Bobby Bacala 11/1 - 9/1
Benny Fazio 11/1 - 10/1
Paulie Walnuts 13/1 - 12/1
Artie Bucco 16/1 - 14/1
Johnny Sack 30/1 - 44/1
Silvio Dante 52/1 - 29/1
Dr. Melfi 70/1 - 44/1
A.J. Soprano 70/1 - 90/1
Carmela Soprano 70/1 - 90/1
Meadow Soprano 75/1 - 90/1
Tony Soprano 75/1 - 90/1
None of these die 7/1 - 20/1
About PinnacleSports.comPinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largestsports betting site serving customers in more than 80 countries worldwide.Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introducereduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors upto 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With lowminimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web,PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providingconsistent value to the player, professional customer service and thequickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao and theUnited Kingdom, the company offers a secure environment for sportsbetting, racing and casino gaming.
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