Pinnacle Pulse

The Inside Wagering Line From Pinnacle Sports Book By Simon Noble For this weeks Pulse, let’s switch gears and take a look at a recent phenomenon in online gaming that’s created a buzz on the forums and generated tremendous betting interest at the Pinnacle Sportsbook –American Idol. No other “event” at Pinnacle Sports has been growing as fast as wagering on American Idol. It has turned into a huge betting event with reasonably high limits and all sorts of profit-making potential for sharp bettors. Atthe Pinnacle Sports book, the action on this year’s series has increased five fold over the last installment of the hit show and now compares tothe Masters in terms of handle.Since becoming the first bookmaker in the world to offer odds on the show, Pinnacle Sportsbetting has tried to support this growth in wagering interest by expanding Idol betting offers. Every week there are now oddsto win American Idol, various elimination props and contestant versus contestant match-ups. Whether a fan of America’s top-rated show or only watching because of your wife or girlfriend, here are some of basic strategies to use when betting American Idol. Odds to Win There are a few things to consider when looking for the right win bet. First off, remember that this bet is for the long haul. Many people make the mistake of picking the performer who sang the best the previous week. This strategy leads to an underlay situation – betting a price, which is less than what it should be. All Idol contestants struggle at some point in the competition, so you should always look for value. In this year’s competition alone, two performers who had some of the best performances early in the series were subsequently bet down to low prices - Lisa Tucker and Ace Young. After just a few weeks, Tucker has already been eliminated, while Young is now a huge long shot to win America’s largest talent search. A better strategy is to look for performers who don’t necessarily get the praise from the judges, but show flashes of the talent necessary to go the distance. Another important thing to remember when betting any contestant to win is the demographic breakdown of the voters, the viewing public and potential future CD purchasers. Unlike sporting events, American Idol is not decidedon the field of play – it’s decided by the American public under the guiding influence of the shows producers. Therefore, to be successful betting on American Idol, put any personal opinions or prejudices aside and think like the majority of the voting public. Even if you think Elliott would look more at home at a Star Trek convention than in a contest for a major recording contract, remember that the typical voter is young, female and quite often, Southern. If a contestant cannot appeal to this demographic, no matter how much talent he or she possesses, they’ll struggle for votes. Looks, demeanorand charisma are extremely important. And it’s no coincidence that every Idol winner so far has hailed from a Southern state. Elimination Props Every week Pinnacle Sports betting offers a prop on who’ll be eliminated from the show each Wednesday night.
A suggestion to handicap this is to gauge an overall feel for who’s the least popular contestant left in the competition. Generally the least popular performers have recently appeared in the bottom three and will have been the target of repeated criticism from the judges. Two other resources to use are dialidol.com and votefortheworst.com. Dialidol.com measures the volume of each contestant’s voting line. While by no means a perfect science, it does give a good indication of who is generating votes and who isn’t. Meanwhile, votefortheworst.com is a sitethat attempts to build support for the worst competitor to keep them inthe competition for ‘entertainment’ value. The site has a proven track record of keeping performers around who most feel should have been voted off a long time ago.
Contestant vs. Contestant Match-ups
The best strategy for doing well on match-ups is to assess how close either of the contestants is to being eliminated. If neither is expected to be voted off of the show in the coming weeks, the value is almost always on the underdog. If both are expecting an imminent exit in the nearfuture, the favorite in the match-up might offer value.
This Weeks Idol Betting Odds to Win American Idol
Chris Daughtry +161
Katharine McPhee +314
Taylor Hicks +420
Kellie Pickler +700
Mandisa +909
Elliott Yamin +2000
Paris Bennett +2000
Ace Young +6000
Bucky Covington +15000

Who will be eliminated on April 5, 2006?
Bucky Covington +284
Elliot Yamin +310
Ace Young +311
Mandisa +351
Paris Bennett +786
Katharine McPhee +3320
Taylor Hicks +5000
Kellie Pickler +6000
Chris Daughtry +8000

Since last week’s show, at Pinnacle Sports most of the money has come in on two contestants: Taylor Hicks and Kellie Pickler. Taylor’s odds have steadily shortened from a high of over 5/1 a week ago to 21/5 (+420) to become the fifth American Idol. Not only is she votefortheworst.com’s pickthis week, but Kellie Pickler has also seen a rush of money as well and has gone from a little over 11/1 down to 7/1 to win the show. In the match-ups, Elliot Yamin has drawn steady support this week, especially versus Ace Young, while Taylor Hicks has been bet heavily against both Mandisa and current favorite Chris Daughtry.
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Pinnacle Pulse

ODDS TO WIN 2006 WORLD SERIES FROM PINNACLESPORTS.COMNew York – New York? Yankees, Mets World Series Favorites WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (March 30, 2006)—This Sunday the curtain rises on the2006 Major League Baseball season with the boys of summer returning forthe sport’s 137th season. With the first pitch of the baseball seasoncoming this weekend, PinnacleSports.com today announced updated odds towin the 2006 World Series. The Internet’s largest sports betting site, PinnacleSports.com originally opened wagering on the 2006 World Series immediately following after the Chicago White Sox clinching victory in October’s that clinched the Fall Classic for the Chicago White Sox. At that time, the New York Yankees opened as a 5/1 favorite to win their 27th World Series title, but after receiving the most support from bettors, the Yankees’ championship oddshave been cut to 3/1. It appears that another Subway Series could be inthe making, as the oddsmakers believe in the revamped New York Mets who are listed with the second-best World Series odds at 7/1. The reigningWorld Series Champion Chicago White Sox are currently 8/1 to repeat along with the St. Louis Cardinals, who hope to break-in New Busch Stadium witha World Championship. Other teams that could make a title run in October include: Oakland Athletics (13/1), Boston Red Sox (13/1), Atlanta Braves(15/1), Los Angeles Angels (18/1) and Toronto Blue Jays (18/1).The odds on the Chicago Cubs ending the franchise’s 98-year World Seriesdrought are listed at 19/1 while the Cleveland Indians are 20/1 to win their first championship since 1948. PinnacleSports.com lists the LosAngeles Dodgers at 21/1 to capture the team’s seventh World Series and the Barry Bonds-led San Francisco Giants are 26/1 to win the championship. While they may enter the season with the same record as every other team,the oddsmakers feel a number of franchises have little to no chance ofwinning the World Series. PinnacleSports.com lists championship odds ofthe Florida Marlins, Colorado Rockies and Tampa Bay Devil Rays as 200/1 underdogs, while the Kansas City Royals have been installed as the biggestlong shots at 600/1. In addition to offering betting on who’ll win the World Series,PinnacleSports.com also offers odds on each Major League team winningtheir League Pennant as well as their respective Division. Bettors canalso wager on a wide variety of player props and match-ups includingbatting average, home runs, hits, stolen bases, strike outs and savesamong others. Additionally, PinnacleSports.com provides a unique Division“Superfecta”, where players can strike it rich by predicting the correctorder of the top four finishers in any division with odds of up to2,000/1. Current Odds: *All Odds Subject To Change*Odds To Win World Series From PinnacleSports.comNew York Yankees 3/1New York Mets 7/1St. Louis Cardinals 8/1Chicago White Sox 8/1Oakland Athletics 13/1Boston Red Sox 13/1Atlanta Braves 15/1Los Angeles Angels 18/1Toronto Blue Jays 18/1Chicago Cubs 19/1Cleveland Indians 20/1Los Angeles Dodgers 21/1San Francisco Giants 26/1Houston Astros 38/1Texas Rangers 41/1Philadelphia Phillies 44/1Milwaukee Brewers 48/1Minnesota Twins 52/1San Diego Padres 59/1Seattle Mariners 86/1Cincinnati Reds 100/1Pittsburgh Pirates 100/1Detroit Tigers 100/1Baltimore Orioles 125/1Washington Nationals 125/1Arizona Diamondbacks 150/1Colorado Rockies 200/1Florida Marlins 200/1Tampa Bay Devil Rays 200/1Kansas City Royals 600/1For a complete list of baseball odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.