FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Pinnaclesports.com posts odds on college world series
Cal State Fullerton, Rice & Clemson Favorites In Omaha
WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (June 14, 2006)—Eight teams will vie for the national championship when the 60th Men’s College World Series gets underway at Omaha’s Rosenblatt Stadium this week. For only the second time since 1991, seven teams have reached the finals in Omaha in 2006 that were not part of the CWS field last year. A new national champion will also be crowned as 2005 champs Texas were eliminated in the regional. With college baseball’s championship tournament set to start this week, PinnacleSports.com has released updated odds on which team will win the 2006 College World Series.
The largest sports betting site on the Internet, PinnacleSports.com has calculated individual odds on the eight remaining teams capturing this year’s College World Series title. The Cal St. Fullerton Titans, which sports the nation’s best team ERA, have opened as early favorites at 3/1 odds to capture their fifth national championship despite being seeded fifth in the tournament. Pinnaclesports.com lists the 2003 champion and second-seeded Rice Owls with the second-best odds at 16/5, just slightly behind Fullerton. Although they’re the top seed in the eight team tournament, the Clemson Tigers have only been listed with the third best odds to win their first CWS at 9/2. Georgia Tech, who’ll face their ACC rival Clemson in the tournament’s first game, come in at 6/1, while the only team returning to Omaha, Oregon State is at 7/1. Despite holding the fourth seed in the tournament, North Carolina has been made a 9/1 long shot to win the national championship, while Miami (13/1) and Georgia (14/1) round out the field.
"Pitching is always at a premium in the College World Series, which is why we’ve made Cal St. Fullerton, Rice and Clemson, three of the nation’s top five in team ERA, as the favorites in Omaha," said Simon Noble of PinnacleSports.com. "With five players totaling double-digit homeruns this year and ranking third nationally in runs scored per game, Georgia Tech’s offensive firepower could easily propel them to the school’s first baseball championship."
In addition to offering odds on which team will win the College World Series, PinnacleSports.com has also created unique betting propositions on the tournament. Despite half of the participants coming from the Atlantic Coast Conference, the odds that an ACC team wins the national championship are a 8/5 underdog. PinnacleSports.com will accept wagers on every game of the CWS including run lines, money lines and totals. For a complete list of odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.
Current Odds: *All Odds Subject To Change*
Odds To Win 2006 College World Series
Cal State Fullerton 3/1
Rice 16/5
Clemson 9/2
Georgia Tech 6/1
Oregon St. 7/1
North Carolina 9/1
Miami (FL) 13/1
Georgia 14/1
Will An ACC Team Win The CWS?
No 5/9
Yes 8/5
About PinnacleSports.com
PinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 80 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.
Thursday, June 15, 2006
Wednesday, June 14, 2006
Pinnacle Pulse
The Pinnacle Pulse
The Inside Wagering Line From Pinnacle Sports Book By Simon Noble
With three games gone in the NBA Championship series, there have been more than a few surprises. Even casual NBA followers were surprised at how low scoring the first two games were. Game 1 had a total of 170 points scored (with a total of 192.5), whereas Game 2 had 183 points scored (with the total at 188). Only Game 3 went over as 194 points were scored while the total closed at 189.5.
While many can set a basketball total line based on "feel", the deadliest totals players at Pinnacle Sportsbook combine statistical analysis with a subjective understanding of the teams. If you want to set a baseline, you should begin analysis by looking at five statistics: each team’s average points scored, average points allowed by each team, and the league scoring average.
During the regular season, Dallas scored an average of 99.1 points per game while allowing 93.1 points per game. Miami scored 99.9 points per game and allowed 96. An inexperienced bettor might use just those four numbers and assume their average (96.8 per team, or 193.7 per game) will carry forward. The problem with using straight averages is that it dilutes the affects of high or low statistics.
If team "A" scores five points more than the league average, and this team plays a team with an average defense, you’d expect it to score five points more than average. If you take a straight average of these two statistics, you would predict team "A" to only score 2.5 points better than average, which is the wrong way to go about things.
A better way to set a baseline for a total is to compare a team’s statistics to the league average. For example, Dallas’s average of 99.1 points per game was 1.9 higher than the league average. The Mavericks’ defense (93.1 compared to NBA average of 97.2) was 4.1 lower than the NBA average. Miami scored 2.7 more per game (99.9 versus NBA average 97.2), while allowing 1.2 less (96 versus NBA avg. 97.2).
You now have four "totals adjusters": Dallas has +1.9 (offense) and -4.1 (defense); Miami has +2.7 (offense) and -1.2 (defense). Add them all up, and your "team total adjustment" is (1.9-4.1+2.7-1.2) = -0.7. Add this to the NBA game average (97.2 * 2), and you get a "baseline total" of 193.7 (which is close to the game 1 total of 192.5). This method is particularly accurate when you have two influential statistics that would move the line in the same direction – e.g. a team with a strong defense versus a weak offense.
The baseline gives a good general measure of a match-up, but coaching decisions can cause some significant changes. One of the biggest factors is the pace of a game. In general, the superior team will benefit from a faster pace. The more possessions in a game, the more likely the law of large numbers will win out. Most games have about 85-95 possessions per team. If you look at a box score, the number of possessions = field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers + 0.4 * free throw attempts. This same formula can be used to evaluate the normal "pace" of a team by reviewing its season-long statistics.
Plugging in the regular season stats and using the pace formula, will show that Dallas averages 90 possessions per game, while Miami averages 93 possessions. With the first two games of the series going under, you might have examined their pace. Did a coaching strategy slow the game down?
Using the possessions formula, Game 1 offered 89 possessions each, while Game 2 offered 90 each. This pace was fairly typical of these teams. To understand why these games went under (especially Game 1, which went under by 22_ points), look at another statistic: offensive efficiency.
Offensive efficiency is simply the average number of points scored by a team per 100 possessions. In the regular season, Dallas scored 99.1 points on 90 possessions per game for an offensive rating of 110. Miami allowed 93 points on 93 possessions, for a defensive rating of 100. One should be cautious using season averages because a lineup change or coaching philosophy can drastically change a team’s performance. Therefore, using stats from the last 10 games rather than the whole season may be better.
In Game 1, Dallas scored 90 points on 90 possessions, which was about five points less than one would guess looking at the teams’ ratings. Similarly, Miami only scored 80 points in 90 possessions, whereas the statistics of the two teams predict about 92.5 points. In Game 2, both teams again scored slightly less than their offensive efficiencies would suggest.
When a game result is a far call from what’s expected, the box-score can tell a lot. The first thing to check (both after an unusual result and before doing analysis) are player injuries. A starter getting a lot fewer minutes than normal in a competitive game is one indicator. Maybe the game played at a different pace than expected. Neither of these factors were the main cause in Game 1 – just poor shooting. If there’s no fundamental change in team tactics, shooting will revert to the mean (as it did in Game 2).
There is another factor to consider. Everyone has seen the frantic pace of the last minute of a close game. In Game 6 of the Dallas-Phoenix series, there were 10 possessions in the last 60 seconds as Phoenix pressed to equalize. In the first two Miami-Dallas games, there were only four possessions in the last minute of each blowout-game. It was a different story in Game 3 where there was no more than a two point difference between the teams at any stage during the last minute of the game. When handicapping the total, consider the spread as well. The closer the match, the more likely a frantic final minute or overtime is likely to occur.
Another important factor to consider when betting a total or any sport is the juice or ‘vig’ – the bookmaker's cut for taking a bet. All professional bettors know what a huge impact it has on whether you have won or lost at the end of the season. If a player wants to win $100 betting a total, he risks $110 with a traditional bookie. That extra $10 is the bookmaker's commission for taking the bet. This is known as -110 pricing.
At Pinnacle Sports Book, we don't charge the retail -110 price for placing bets on totals. On NBA totals, we use -105 style pricing instead which offers up to 50% better value than other sportsbooks and saves any player $5 on every $100 wager they make.
Put another way, a player has to win close to 53% of their totals just to break even at traditonal -110 pricing. At a low juice sports book like Pinnacle Sportsbetting, you only need to win just 51% of your plays to break even. Something to think about!
Pinnacle Sports Book & Online Betting
Pinnacle Sportsbook is an online betting company providing the best odds on sportsbook gambling, online horseracing, online casino gaming, and online poker.
With excellent 24/7 customer service, fast payouts, and secure Internet betting, Pinnacle Sports Book satisfies all your sports book betting requirements and game wagering needs.
The Pinnacle Sports Book also offers reduced juice betting so sign-up now with Pinnacle SportsBook Betting and get wagering today!
The Inside Wagering Line From Pinnacle Sports Book By Simon Noble
With three games gone in the NBA Championship series, there have been more than a few surprises. Even casual NBA followers were surprised at how low scoring the first two games were. Game 1 had a total of 170 points scored (with a total of 192.5), whereas Game 2 had 183 points scored (with the total at 188). Only Game 3 went over as 194 points were scored while the total closed at 189.5.
While many can set a basketball total line based on "feel", the deadliest totals players at Pinnacle Sportsbook combine statistical analysis with a subjective understanding of the teams. If you want to set a baseline, you should begin analysis by looking at five statistics: each team’s average points scored, average points allowed by each team, and the league scoring average.
During the regular season, Dallas scored an average of 99.1 points per game while allowing 93.1 points per game. Miami scored 99.9 points per game and allowed 96. An inexperienced bettor might use just those four numbers and assume their average (96.8 per team, or 193.7 per game) will carry forward. The problem with using straight averages is that it dilutes the affects of high or low statistics.
If team "A" scores five points more than the league average, and this team plays a team with an average defense, you’d expect it to score five points more than average. If you take a straight average of these two statistics, you would predict team "A" to only score 2.5 points better than average, which is the wrong way to go about things.
A better way to set a baseline for a total is to compare a team’s statistics to the league average. For example, Dallas’s average of 99.1 points per game was 1.9 higher than the league average. The Mavericks’ defense (93.1 compared to NBA average of 97.2) was 4.1 lower than the NBA average. Miami scored 2.7 more per game (99.9 versus NBA average 97.2), while allowing 1.2 less (96 versus NBA avg. 97.2).
You now have four "totals adjusters": Dallas has +1.9 (offense) and -4.1 (defense); Miami has +2.7 (offense) and -1.2 (defense). Add them all up, and your "team total adjustment" is (1.9-4.1+2.7-1.2) = -0.7. Add this to the NBA game average (97.2 * 2), and you get a "baseline total" of 193.7 (which is close to the game 1 total of 192.5). This method is particularly accurate when you have two influential statistics that would move the line in the same direction – e.g. a team with a strong defense versus a weak offense.
The baseline gives a good general measure of a match-up, but coaching decisions can cause some significant changes. One of the biggest factors is the pace of a game. In general, the superior team will benefit from a faster pace. The more possessions in a game, the more likely the law of large numbers will win out. Most games have about 85-95 possessions per team. If you look at a box score, the number of possessions = field goal attempts – offensive rebounds + turnovers + 0.4 * free throw attempts. This same formula can be used to evaluate the normal "pace" of a team by reviewing its season-long statistics.
Plugging in the regular season stats and using the pace formula, will show that Dallas averages 90 possessions per game, while Miami averages 93 possessions. With the first two games of the series going under, you might have examined their pace. Did a coaching strategy slow the game down?
Using the possessions formula, Game 1 offered 89 possessions each, while Game 2 offered 90 each. This pace was fairly typical of these teams. To understand why these games went under (especially Game 1, which went under by 22_ points), look at another statistic: offensive efficiency.
Offensive efficiency is simply the average number of points scored by a team per 100 possessions. In the regular season, Dallas scored 99.1 points on 90 possessions per game for an offensive rating of 110. Miami allowed 93 points on 93 possessions, for a defensive rating of 100. One should be cautious using season averages because a lineup change or coaching philosophy can drastically change a team’s performance. Therefore, using stats from the last 10 games rather than the whole season may be better.
In Game 1, Dallas scored 90 points on 90 possessions, which was about five points less than one would guess looking at the teams’ ratings. Similarly, Miami only scored 80 points in 90 possessions, whereas the statistics of the two teams predict about 92.5 points. In Game 2, both teams again scored slightly less than their offensive efficiencies would suggest.
When a game result is a far call from what’s expected, the box-score can tell a lot. The first thing to check (both after an unusual result and before doing analysis) are player injuries. A starter getting a lot fewer minutes than normal in a competitive game is one indicator. Maybe the game played at a different pace than expected. Neither of these factors were the main cause in Game 1 – just poor shooting. If there’s no fundamental change in team tactics, shooting will revert to the mean (as it did in Game 2).
There is another factor to consider. Everyone has seen the frantic pace of the last minute of a close game. In Game 6 of the Dallas-Phoenix series, there were 10 possessions in the last 60 seconds as Phoenix pressed to equalize. In the first two Miami-Dallas games, there were only four possessions in the last minute of each blowout-game. It was a different story in Game 3 where there was no more than a two point difference between the teams at any stage during the last minute of the game. When handicapping the total, consider the spread as well. The closer the match, the more likely a frantic final minute or overtime is likely to occur.
Another important factor to consider when betting a total or any sport is the juice or ‘vig’ – the bookmaker's cut for taking a bet. All professional bettors know what a huge impact it has on whether you have won or lost at the end of the season. If a player wants to win $100 betting a total, he risks $110 with a traditional bookie. That extra $10 is the bookmaker's commission for taking the bet. This is known as -110 pricing.
At Pinnacle Sports Book, we don't charge the retail -110 price for placing bets on totals. On NBA totals, we use -105 style pricing instead which offers up to 50% better value than other sportsbooks and saves any player $5 on every $100 wager they make.
Put another way, a player has to win close to 53% of their totals just to break even at traditonal -110 pricing. At a low juice sports book like Pinnacle Sportsbetting, you only need to win just 51% of your plays to break even. Something to think about!
Pinnacle Sports Book & Online Betting
Pinnacle Sportsbook is an online betting company providing the best odds on sportsbook gambling, online horseracing, online casino gaming, and online poker.
With excellent 24/7 customer service, fast payouts, and secure Internet betting, Pinnacle Sports Book satisfies all your sports book betting requirements and game wagering needs.
The Pinnacle Sports Book also offers reduced juice betting so sign-up now with Pinnacle SportsBook Betting and get wagering today!
Tuesday, June 13, 2006
Pinnacle Pulse
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Despite Long Layoff, tiger woods Remains U.S. Open Favorite
PinnacleSports.com Releases Odds On 2006 U.S. Open At Winged Foot
WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (June 13, 2006)—When the 2006 U.S. Open tees off at Winged Foot Golf Club this week, it will mark the first professional tournament played by Tiger Woods since this year’s Masters. Following the death of his father, Woods has taken the longest layoff in his professional career and has not played golf competitively in nine weeks. Despite the lengthy absence from the PGA Tour, PinnacleSports.com still lists Tiger Woods as a 5/1 favorite to capture his third U.S. Open championship
The largest sports betting site on the Internet, PinnacleSports.com has calculated individual odds on 107 golfers of the 156-man field expected to participate in this year’s U.S. Open. Although he his performance may suffer from the long break, Tiger remains the favorite mainly due to overwhelming public support. Coming off his win at this year’s Masters, Phil Mickelson has been installed with the second best odds at 13/2 to capture his first U.S. Open. The oddsmakers have listed Vijay Singh at 14/1 to win at Winged Foot, while 2001 and 2004 U.S. Open champion Refief Goosen is 16/1 to capture the tournament for a third time. 2003 champion Jim Furyk and two-time winner Ernie Els are solid contenders at 20/1 and 22/1, respectively. Other players that may outlast the field and win the second major of the year include: Luke Donald (28/1); Adam Scott (28/1); David Toms (32/1); Sergio Garcia (45/1); David Howell (45/1) and Padraig Harrington (50/1). Last year’s champion Michael Campbell is a 90/1 long shot to become the first repeat winner at the U.S. Open since Curtis Strange in 1989.
With the rivalry between Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson the talk of the golf world, PinnacleSports.com has created betting options on the number of major championships won by each player this year. Although he’ll be one of the favorites in the remaining majors, Phil Mickelson is favored to finish the year with only the Masters title at 4/9 odds. The odds that the world’s top-ranked player will win two majors are at 11/5, while Mickelson is 16/1 to finish with three majors in ’06, and a huge 175/1 long shot to capture the elusive Grand Slam. Meanwhile, PinnacleSports.com currently favors Woods finishing 2006 major-less at 2/3 odds. Tiger is 2/1 to capture one major championship, 8/1 to win two, and 35/1 to win the remaining three majors this year.
Current Odds: *All Odds Subject To Change*
Odds To Win 2006 U.S. Open (Favorites & Notables)
Tiger Woods 5/1
Phil Mickelson 13/2
Vijay Singh 14/1
Retief Goosen 16/1
Jim Furyk 20/1
Ernie Els 22/1
Luke Donald 28/1
Adam Scott 28/1
David Toms 32/1
Sergio Garcia 45/1
David Howell 45/1
Padraig Harrington 50/1
Tim Clark 55/1
Trevor Immelman 55/1
Stuart Appleby 60/1
Chad Campbell 60/1
Davis Love III 60/1
Mike Weir 65/1
Jose Maria Olazabal 80/1
Michael Campbell 90/1
Justin Leonard 110/1
Fred Couples 135/1
How Many Majors Will Phil Mickelson Win In 2006?
One 4/9
Two 11/5
Three 16/1
Grand Slam 175/1
How Many Majors Will Tiger Woods Win In 2006?
None 2/3
One 2/1
Two 8/1
Three 35/1
For a complete list of odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.
About PinnacleSports.com
PinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 80 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.
Despite Long Layoff, tiger woods Remains U.S. Open Favorite
PinnacleSports.com Releases Odds On 2006 U.S. Open At Winged Foot
WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (June 13, 2006)—When the 2006 U.S. Open tees off at Winged Foot Golf Club this week, it will mark the first professional tournament played by Tiger Woods since this year’s Masters. Following the death of his father, Woods has taken the longest layoff in his professional career and has not played golf competitively in nine weeks. Despite the lengthy absence from the PGA Tour, PinnacleSports.com still lists Tiger Woods as a 5/1 favorite to capture his third U.S. Open championship
The largest sports betting site on the Internet, PinnacleSports.com has calculated individual odds on 107 golfers of the 156-man field expected to participate in this year’s U.S. Open. Although he his performance may suffer from the long break, Tiger remains the favorite mainly due to overwhelming public support. Coming off his win at this year’s Masters, Phil Mickelson has been installed with the second best odds at 13/2 to capture his first U.S. Open. The oddsmakers have listed Vijay Singh at 14/1 to win at Winged Foot, while 2001 and 2004 U.S. Open champion Refief Goosen is 16/1 to capture the tournament for a third time. 2003 champion Jim Furyk and two-time winner Ernie Els are solid contenders at 20/1 and 22/1, respectively. Other players that may outlast the field and win the second major of the year include: Luke Donald (28/1); Adam Scott (28/1); David Toms (32/1); Sergio Garcia (45/1); David Howell (45/1) and Padraig Harrington (50/1). Last year’s champion Michael Campbell is a 90/1 long shot to become the first repeat winner at the U.S. Open since Curtis Strange in 1989.
With the rivalry between Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson the talk of the golf world, PinnacleSports.com has created betting options on the number of major championships won by each player this year. Although he’ll be one of the favorites in the remaining majors, Phil Mickelson is favored to finish the year with only the Masters title at 4/9 odds. The odds that the world’s top-ranked player will win two majors are at 11/5, while Mickelson is 16/1 to finish with three majors in ’06, and a huge 175/1 long shot to capture the elusive Grand Slam. Meanwhile, PinnacleSports.com currently favors Woods finishing 2006 major-less at 2/3 odds. Tiger is 2/1 to capture one major championship, 8/1 to win two, and 35/1 to win the remaining three majors this year.
Current Odds: *All Odds Subject To Change*
Odds To Win 2006 U.S. Open (Favorites & Notables)
Tiger Woods 5/1
Phil Mickelson 13/2
Vijay Singh 14/1
Retief Goosen 16/1
Jim Furyk 20/1
Ernie Els 22/1
Luke Donald 28/1
Adam Scott 28/1
David Toms 32/1
Sergio Garcia 45/1
David Howell 45/1
Padraig Harrington 50/1
Tim Clark 55/1
Trevor Immelman 55/1
Stuart Appleby 60/1
Chad Campbell 60/1
Davis Love III 60/1
Mike Weir 65/1
Jose Maria Olazabal 80/1
Michael Campbell 90/1
Justin Leonard 110/1
Fred Couples 135/1
How Many Majors Will Phil Mickelson Win In 2006?
One 4/9
Two 11/5
Three 16/1
Grand Slam 175/1
How Many Majors Will Tiger Woods Win In 2006?
None 2/3
One 2/1
Two 8/1
Three 35/1
For a complete list of odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.
About PinnacleSports.com
PinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 80 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.
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