The Inside Wagering Line from Pinnacle Sports Book by Simon Noble
Exploring the Opportunities of Alternate NFL Lines & Smaller Markets
It’s easy to feel overwhelmed by the sheer number of offerings at the Pinnacle Sportsbook. For football alone, bettors have the choice of nearly 30 markets, including halftimes, quarters, props and futures for several different leagues including the NFL, NCAA, CFL and even the CIS Vanier Cup. Many players staunchly ignore everything except vanilla sides and totals markets. While these players are certainly saving money by taking advantage of Pinnacle Sportsbetting’s -104 reduced juice, they’re also missing out on some potentially profitable alternative markets.
Armed with reduced juice, smart bettors are in a position take on the familiar NFL offerings, but smaller markets like NFL Alternate Spreads and NCAA Div-IAA sides, can be even easier to pillage with low vig. While the wise guys are pounding bigger markets into shape, these less-played promotions remain less efficient, and are ideal prey for smaller players.
In the NFL, Pinnacle Sports offers betting on four different sets of alternate lines: alternate low, alternate high, extra low and extra high. These lines use spreads far removed from the normal line that you cannot reach via the unique drop-down buy/sell menu at the Pinnacle Sports book. For example, if the line for Chicago was -2 ½ (-115), we might also offer the Bears at -7.5 (+230), +3.5 (-230), -10.5 (+320) and +7.5 (-385).
While you can handicap and play alternate lines just like a normal line, there are a few situations when they may be vastly superior to the standard spread. There are two factors that make getting extra points by paying more juice advantageous: (1) when the team you are backing is very consistent, or (2) when the game total is low.
(1) If you have a match-up between two defensive teams that run the ball (like San Diego, Dallas or Jacksonville), the game is more likely to land near the spread, making those extra points you bought more valuable than in a regular game.
(2) When should you play the long shot, giving up more points for a high-paying moneyline? Look for games with high totals, or a match-up between two teams that play inconsistently – especially pass-oriented offenses. In match-ups of teams like Miami, Arizona and Pittsburgh, they’re as likely to win or lose by a high margin in a mismatch. Giving up extra points for a higher payout is a good way to cash in on the volatility of inconsistent teams.
Rich pickings can also be found betting the smaller leagues offered at Pinnacle Sports betting. With over 120 Div-IAA sides, the linesmakers at Pinnacle Sportsbetting simply don’t have the time to analyze each game and team in-depth. Shrewd handicappers focus on a favorite conference like the Ivy League, which gives them an advantage over the house. If you’re a specialist in one conference and know the players, coaches, playing styles, injuries and suspensions for all the teams in that conference, you have invaluable insight on match-ups featuring those teams that bookmakers like PinnacleSports.com, simply do not.
What are our players betting now?
Clemson -17 -108 v. N.C. State
The Tigers opened at -13 -105 and quickly became a public favorite. The sharps didn’t have a clear opinion on this game and the public kept betting Clemson up. While N.C. State has a mere 3-6 record, most of their games have been very competitive – only one loss was by more than eight points.
Wake Forest +8.5 +101 v. Florida State
Every once in awhile, we look at one of our openers and wince at the lopsided action. This happened after we opened the Seminoles at -3.5 -105 and the early sharps played FSU. Fortunately, we can get a good line fairly cheaply due to our lower limits earlier in the week. Once the line stabilized, we are still seeing sharps on Florida State, while the public is strongly on Wake Forest.
New Orleans +4 -102 v. Pittsburgh
The Saints opened as a 6-point underdog, and were quickly bet down by the public. We took two bets on the Saints for every one on the Steelers. Despite the public sentiment, the sharps are evenly split on this game with no change of opinion of note as the line dropped.
Chicago +3 -125 v. New York
We opened the Bears at -1 -112, and took a storm of public money. After Chicago became an underdog at +2.5 and +3, the sharps started lining up on the Bears. The public is quick to react to a single disappointing performance, and seems to have forgotten that the Bears have the greatest points scored differential in the NFL, outscoring their opponents by an average of 16.8 points per game.
Denver/Oakland Over 33 -105
The Raiders have an unusual combination that often makes playing the "Under" very tempting. In their eight games this year, they have only scored six offensive touchdowns. They are the worst team in the NFL for offensive yardage at 228 yards per game and points scored with 11.5 per game. But… Oakland has the #2 passing defense, allowing just 160 passing yards per game. Taken together with a match-up against a strong Broncos defense, it’s no surprise that this is the week’s lowest totaled game. Our opener of 37 took hits mainly from sharps playing the under.
"Stranger than Fiction" under $14 million -140
Since you never know what will catch a player’s fancy we like to experiment with new markets. Case in point is our opening three day weekend box office propositions. The movie market on the opening weekend success of "Stranger than Fiction", drew a lot of interest and brought in moderate balanced action. We opened at $14.5m -108, and the price has drifted down due to the opinions of our "movie sharps". If anyone has good data on buy/sell costs of 0.5 million for movie openers, please write me at askthebook@pinnaclesports.com.
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Thursday, November 09, 2006
Colts remain Undefeated
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Pinnaclesports.com Posts odds on colts undefeated season
WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (November 9, 2006)—After beating New England Sunday night, the Indianapolis Colts remain the only undefeated team in the NFL at the season’s midpoint. Now that Peyton Manning and the Colts have beaten their nemesis, talk of Indianapolis challenging the 1972 Dolphins as the only team to finish the regular season unbeaten has gathered pace. With the Colts inching closer to making history, PinnacleSports.com today announced updated odds on Indianapolis finishing undefeated as well as odds on when the team will suffer its first loss, if at all.
The largest spots betting site on the Internet, PinnacleSports.com originally opened odds on the Colts finishing a perfect 16-0 at odds of 20/1 and become the first team since the 1972 Dolphins to finish with an unblemished regular season record. Now that Indianapolis have survived difficult road games against the Broncos and Patriots, the odds on Manning and the Colts finishing with a perfect season stands at just 6/1. The odds that Indy will simply be another team unable to match the record-holding Dolphins stand as a 1/7 favorite.
In addition to posting odds on the Colts going undefeated in the regular season, PinnacleSports.com has calculated odds on which of Indy’s remaining eight games will see the team’s first loss. The oddsmakers currently list the Colts’ trip to Dallas on November 19th as a 2/1 favorite to become Indianapolis’ first regular season loss. Other teams most likely to deal the Colts their first loss in 2006 include Buffalo (5/1), Philadelphia (6/1) and Jacksonville (7/1).
"While no NFL team has finished with an undefeated season in 34 years, the Colts have already overcome their major roadblocks en route to finishing a perfect 16-0 this year. Indianapolis has survived trips to Denver and New England and faces only one team in their final eight games that currently owns a better than .500 record (Jacksonville)," said Simon Noble of PinnacleSports.com. "With their remaining opponents holding a combined 26-38 record, Indianapolis going undefeated at 6/1 represents unprecedented value to bettors. Of course things could get very interesting on the season’s final day if the disappointing Dolphins are the final obstacle standing in the way of the Colts matching Miami’s perfect, 1972 season."
Current Odds: All Odds Subject To Change
Will The Indianapolis Colts Finish 16-0 In The Regular Season?
Yes 6/1
No 1/7
When Will The Colts Suffer Their First Regular Season Loss?
Nov 12th vs. Buffalo 5/1
Nov 19th @ Dallas 2/1
Nov 26th vs. Philadelphia 6/1
Dec 3rd @ Tennessee 17/1
Dec 10th @ Jacksonville 7/1
Dec 18th vs Cincinnati 12/1
Dec 24th @ Houston 41/1
Dec 31st vs. Miami 26/1
Colts Finish 16-0 6/1
For more information and a complete list of odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.
About PinnacleSports.com
PinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 100 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.
Pinnaclesports.com Posts odds on colts undefeated season
WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (November 9, 2006)—After beating New England Sunday night, the Indianapolis Colts remain the only undefeated team in the NFL at the season’s midpoint. Now that Peyton Manning and the Colts have beaten their nemesis, talk of Indianapolis challenging the 1972 Dolphins as the only team to finish the regular season unbeaten has gathered pace. With the Colts inching closer to making history, PinnacleSports.com today announced updated odds on Indianapolis finishing undefeated as well as odds on when the team will suffer its first loss, if at all.
The largest spots betting site on the Internet, PinnacleSports.com originally opened odds on the Colts finishing a perfect 16-0 at odds of 20/1 and become the first team since the 1972 Dolphins to finish with an unblemished regular season record. Now that Indianapolis have survived difficult road games against the Broncos and Patriots, the odds on Manning and the Colts finishing with a perfect season stands at just 6/1. The odds that Indy will simply be another team unable to match the record-holding Dolphins stand as a 1/7 favorite.
In addition to posting odds on the Colts going undefeated in the regular season, PinnacleSports.com has calculated odds on which of Indy’s remaining eight games will see the team’s first loss. The oddsmakers currently list the Colts’ trip to Dallas on November 19th as a 2/1 favorite to become Indianapolis’ first regular season loss. Other teams most likely to deal the Colts their first loss in 2006 include Buffalo (5/1), Philadelphia (6/1) and Jacksonville (7/1).
"While no NFL team has finished with an undefeated season in 34 years, the Colts have already overcome their major roadblocks en route to finishing a perfect 16-0 this year. Indianapolis has survived trips to Denver and New England and faces only one team in their final eight games that currently owns a better than .500 record (Jacksonville)," said Simon Noble of PinnacleSports.com. "With their remaining opponents holding a combined 26-38 record, Indianapolis going undefeated at 6/1 represents unprecedented value to bettors. Of course things could get very interesting on the season’s final day if the disappointing Dolphins are the final obstacle standing in the way of the Colts matching Miami’s perfect, 1972 season."
Current Odds: All Odds Subject To Change
Will The Indianapolis Colts Finish 16-0 In The Regular Season?
Yes 6/1
No 1/7
When Will The Colts Suffer Their First Regular Season Loss?
Nov 12th vs. Buffalo 5/1
Nov 19th @ Dallas 2/1
Nov 26th vs. Philadelphia 6/1
Dec 3rd @ Tennessee 17/1
Dec 10th @ Jacksonville 7/1
Dec 18th vs Cincinnati 12/1
Dec 24th @ Houston 41/1
Dec 31st vs. Miami 26/1
Colts Finish 16-0 6/1
For more information and a complete list of odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.
About PinnacleSports.com
PinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 100 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.
Dancing with the Stars
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Emmitt Smith favorite to win Dancing With THe Stars At PinnacleSports.com
WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (November 9, 2006)—After two months of competition, ABC’s hit show "Dancing With The Stars" has reached its grand finale with only two celebrity teams remaining in the competition. After Wednesday’s elimination of Joey Lawrence, the celebrity dance contest is down to former teen heartthrob Mario Lopez versus the NFL’s all-time leading rusher, Emmitt Smith. With the "Saved By The Bell" star Lopez and Dallas Cowboy great Smith performing their final routines next week, PinnacleSports.com has announced updated odds on who’ll win "Dancing With The Stars".
The Internet’s largest sports betting site, PinnacleSports.com was the first bookmaker to post odds on "Dancing With The Stars". Throughout the series, Mario Lopez had been the favorite to win the competition, but now bettors have now put their support behind Emmitt Smith in the past week vaulting him into favorite status and dropping his odds to win the competition to 4/5 (i.e., win $4 for every $5 bet). As the series heads into its final week, PinnacleSports.com now lists Lopez as the underdog to be crowned the next dance champion at 11/10 odds. As recently as two weeks ago when only four competitors remained, PinnacleSports.com listed Lopez a 5/6 favorite to win the celebrity dance-off, while Emmitt Smith had the second best odds at 7/4.
"We initially saw support for Emmitt Smith begin to swell in the last week when we received several $300 maximum limit bets on the former Super Bowl winner," said Simon Noble of PinnacleSports.com. "Although customers weren’t backing him nearly as much as when betting opened, Lopez remained our favorite to win Dancing With The Stars until recently mainly because of his superior dancing skills. While he may not have the better moves of the two finalists, Emmitt Smith certainly has the charisma to win over America’s vote and add the dancing crown to his three Super Bowl rings."
Current Odds: All Odds Subject To Change
Odds To Win Dancing With The Stars
Contestant
Current Odds
Opening Odds
Emmitt Smith
4/5
14/1
Mario Lopez
11/10
3/1
For more information and a complete list of odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.
About PinnacleSports.com
PinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 100 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.
Emmitt Smith favorite to win Dancing With THe Stars At PinnacleSports.com
WILLEMSTAD, CURACAO (November 9, 2006)—After two months of competition, ABC’s hit show "Dancing With The Stars" has reached its grand finale with only two celebrity teams remaining in the competition. After Wednesday’s elimination of Joey Lawrence, the celebrity dance contest is down to former teen heartthrob Mario Lopez versus the NFL’s all-time leading rusher, Emmitt Smith. With the "Saved By The Bell" star Lopez and Dallas Cowboy great Smith performing their final routines next week, PinnacleSports.com has announced updated odds on who’ll win "Dancing With The Stars".
The Internet’s largest sports betting site, PinnacleSports.com was the first bookmaker to post odds on "Dancing With The Stars". Throughout the series, Mario Lopez had been the favorite to win the competition, but now bettors have now put their support behind Emmitt Smith in the past week vaulting him into favorite status and dropping his odds to win the competition to 4/5 (i.e., win $4 for every $5 bet). As the series heads into its final week, PinnacleSports.com now lists Lopez as the underdog to be crowned the next dance champion at 11/10 odds. As recently as two weeks ago when only four competitors remained, PinnacleSports.com listed Lopez a 5/6 favorite to win the celebrity dance-off, while Emmitt Smith had the second best odds at 7/4.
"We initially saw support for Emmitt Smith begin to swell in the last week when we received several $300 maximum limit bets on the former Super Bowl winner," said Simon Noble of PinnacleSports.com. "Although customers weren’t backing him nearly as much as when betting opened, Lopez remained our favorite to win Dancing With The Stars until recently mainly because of his superior dancing skills. While he may not have the better moves of the two finalists, Emmitt Smith certainly has the charisma to win over America’s vote and add the dancing crown to his three Super Bowl rings."
Current Odds: All Odds Subject To Change
Odds To Win Dancing With The Stars
Contestant
Current Odds
Opening Odds
Emmitt Smith
4/5
14/1
Mario Lopez
11/10
3/1
For more information and a complete list of odds, please visit www.pinnaclesports.com.
About PinnacleSports.com
PinnacleSports.com (www.pinnaclesports.com) is the Internet’s largest sports betting site serving customers in more than 100 countries worldwide. Founded in 1998, PinnacleSports.com was the first sports book to introduce reduced margin wagering, using a -105 pricing model that gives bettors up to 50% better value on wagers than traditional bookmakers. With low minimum bet requirements and the highest maximum limits on the Web, PinnacleSports.com has earned an industry leading reputation for providing consistent value to the player, professional customer service and the quickest payouts online. Fully licensed and regulated in Curacao, the company offers a secure environment for sports betting, racing and casino gaming.
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